The Predictioneer’s Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

BRUCE BUENO DE MESQUITA is Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. A specialist in policy forecasting, political economy, and international security policy, he received his doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan in 1971. Bueno de Mesquita is regularly identified as one of the most influential academics in the United States in the arena of foreign policy. He is the author of fifteen books and more than one hundred articles as well as numerous pieces in major newspapers and magazines. He has also appeared on the Today show, ABC, NBC, CBS, and Fox News, Bloomberg TV, and al Jazeera International, as well as television broadcasts in Brazil, China, Korea, the Netherlands, and elsewhere. His previous book, The Strategy of Campaigning, co- authored with Kiron K. Skinner, Serhiy Kudelia, and Condoleezza Rice, was published in August 2007. Bueno de Mesquita has been and is an adviser to the American government on national security matters and to numerous corporations on questions related to mergers and acquisitions, litigation, regulation, labor-management relations, and contract negotiations. He is a general partner in Mesquita & Roundell, LLC, a consulting firm focused on government and business applications of his game-theory models. He lives in San Francisco and New York City.

Copyright © 2009 by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

All rights reserved.

Published in the United States by Random House, an imprint of The Random House Publishing Group, a division of Random House, Inc., New York.

RANDOM HOUSE and colophon are registered trademarks of Random House, Inc.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce.

The predictioneer’s game: using the logic of brazen self- interest to see and shape the future / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita.

p. cm.

eISBN: 978-1-58836-908-6

1. Game theory. 2. Economic man. 3. Self-interest. I. Title.

HB144.B84 2009

303.4901?5193—dc22   2009005686

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