faint rumble of a distant planetquake deep below; that can obtain three-dimensional color or infrared images of a landscape like none ever seen on Earth. These machines are, at least to a limited degree, intelligent. They can make choices on the basis of information they themselves receive. They can remember with great accuracy a detailed set of instructions which, if written out in English, would fill a good-sized book. They are obedient and can be reinstructed by radio messages sent to them from human controllers on Earth. And they have returned, mostly by radio, a rich and varied harvest of information on the nature of the solar system we inhabit. There have been fly-bys, crash-landers, soft-landers, orbiters, automated roving vehicles, and unmanned returned sample missions from our nearest celestial neighbor, the Moon-as well as, of course, six successful and heroic manned expeditions in the Apollo series. There has been a fly-by of Mercury; orbiters, entry probes and landers on Venus; fly-bys, orbiters and landers to Mars; and fly-bys of Jupiter and Saturn. Phobos and Deimos, the two small moons of Mars, have been examined close up, and tantalizing images have been obtained of a few of the moons of Jupiter.
We have caught our first glimpses of the ammonia clouds and great storm systems of Jupiter; the cold, salt- covered surface of its moon, Io; the desolate, crater-pocked, ancient and broiling Mercurian wasteland; and the wild and eerie landscape of our nearest planetary neighbor, Venus, where the clouds are composed of an acid rain that falls continuously but never patters the surface because that hilly landscape, illuminated by sunlight diffusing through the perpetual cloud layer, is everywhere at 900°F. And Mars: What a puzzle, what a joy, enigma and delight is Mars, with ancient river bottoms; immense, sculpted polar terraces; a volcano almost 80,000 feet high; raging windstorms; balmy afternoons; and an apparent initial defeat of our first pioneering effort to answer the question of questions-whether the planet harbors, now or ever, a home-grown form of life.
There are on Earth only two spacefaring nations, only two powers so far able to send machines much beyond the Earth’s atmosphere-the United States and the Soviet Union. The United States has accomplished the only manned missions to another body, the only successful Mars landers and the only expeditions to Mercury, Jupiter and Saturn. The Soviet Union has pioneered the automated exploration of the Moon, including the only unmanned rovers and return sample missions on any celestial objects, and the first entry probes and landers on Venus. Since the end of the Apollo program, Venus and the Moon have become, to a certain degree, Russian turf, and the rest of the solar system visited only by American space vehicles. While there is a certain degree of scientific cooperation between the two spacefaring nations, this planetary territoriality has come about by default rather than by agreement. There have in recent years been a set of very ambitious but unsuccessful Soviet missions to Mars, and the United States launched a modest but successful set of Venus orbiters and entry probes in 1978. The solar system is very large and there is much to explore. Even tiny Mars has a surface area comparable to the land area of the Earth. For practical reasons it is much easier to organize separate but coordinated missions launched by two or more nations than cooperative multinational ventures. In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, England, France, Spain, Portugal and Holland each organized on a grand scale missions of global exploration and discovery in vigorous competition. But the economic and religious motives of exploratory competition then do not seem to have their counterparts today. And there is every reason to think that national competition in the exploration of the planets will, at least for the foreseeable future, be peaceful.
THE LEAD TIMES for planetary missions are very long. The design, fabrication, testing, integration and launch of a typical planetary mission takes many years. A systematic program of planetary exploration requires a continuing commitment. The most celebrated American achievements on the Moon and planets-Apollo, Pioneer, Mariner and Viking-were initiated in the 1960s. At least until recently, the United States has made only one major commitment to planetary exploration in the whole of the decade of the 1970s-the Voyager missions, launched in the summer of 1977, to make the first systematic fly-by examination of Jupiter, Saturn, their twenty-five or so moons and the spectacular rings of the latter.
This absence of new starts has produced a real crisis in the community of American scientists and engineers responsible for the succession of engineering successes and high scientific discovery that began in 1962 with the Mariner 2 fly-by of Venus. There has been an interruption in the pace of exploration. Workers have been laid off and drifted to quite different jobs, and there is a real problem in providing continuity to the next generation of planetary exploration. For example, the earliest likely response to the spectacularly successful and historic Viking exploration of Mars will be a mission that does not even arrive at the Red Planet before 1985-a gap in Martian exploration of almost a decade. And there is not the slightest guarantee that there will be a mission even then. This trend-a little like dismissing most of the shipwrights, sail weavers and navigators of Spain in the early sixteenth century-shows some slight signs of reversal. Recently approved was Project Galileo, a middle-1980s mission to perform the first orbital reconnaissance of Jupiter and to drop the first probe into its atmosphere-which may contain organic molecules synthesized in a manner analogous to the chemical events which on Earth led to the origin of life. But the following year Congress so reduced the funds available for Galileo that it is, at the present writing, teetering on the brink of disaster.
In recent years the entire NASA budget has been well below one percent of the federal budget. The funds spent on planetary exploration have been less than 15 percent of that. Requests by the planetary science community for new missions have been repeatedly rejected-as one senator explained to me, the public has not, despite
One of the first and most exciting applications being discussed is a comet-rendezvous mission, perhaps a rendezvous with Halley’s comet in 1986. Comets spend most of their time in interstellar space and should provide major clues on the early history of the solar system and the nature of the matter between the stars. Solar sailing to Halley’s comet might not only provide close-up pictures of the interior of a comet-about which we now know close to nothing-but also, astonishingly, return a piece of a comet to the planet Earth. The practical advantages and the romance of solar sailing are both evident in this example, and it is clear that it represents not just a new mission but a new interplanetary technology. Because the development of solar-sailing technology is behind that of ion propulsion, it is the latter that may propel us on our first missions to the comets. Both propulsion mechanisms have their place in future interplanetary travel. But in the long term I believe solar sailing will make the greater impact. Perhaps by the early twenty-first century there will be interplanetary regattas competing for the fastest time from Earth to Mars.
