coming to an end. In 1966, with no more frothy investment targets, Israel experienced for the first time nearly zero economic growth. This should have convinced Israel’s government to open the economy to private enterprise. But instead, needed reforms were staved off by the Six-Day War. Within one week of June 6, 1967, Israel had captured the West Bank, Gaza Strip, Sinai Peninsula, and Golan Heights. Collectively, the territory was equal to more than three times the size of Israel.
Suddenly the Israeli government was once again busy with new large-scale infrastructure projects. And since the IDF needed to establish positions in the new territories, massive spending was necessary for defense installations, border security, and other costly infrastructure. It was another giant economic “stimulus” program. As a result, from 1967 to 1968, investment in construction equipment alone increased by 725 percent. The timing of the war reinforced the worst instincts of Israel’s central planners.
Still, Israel’s economy was living on borrowed time. Another war six years later, the Yom Kippur War of 1973, did not yield the same economic boost. Israel suffered heavy casualties (three thousand fatalities and many more wounded) and enormous damage to its infrastructure. Forced to mobilize large numbers of reserves, the IDF pulled most of the labor force out of the economy for up to six months. The effect of such a massive and protracted call-up was jarring, paralyzing companies and even entire industries. Business activity came to a halt.
In any normal economic environment, private incomes among domestic workers would have experienced a corresponding decline. But in Israel they did not. Instead of allowing salaries to fall, the government artificially propped them up through a vehicle that resulted in extremely high levels of public debt. In order to try to offset the ballooning debt, every tax rate—including on capital investment—was raised. Short-term and high-priced debt was used to finance the deficit, which in turn increased interest payments.
All this coincided with a decline in net immigration. New immigrants have always been a key source of Israel’s economic vitality. There had been a net gain of nearly one hundred thousand new Israelis between 1972 and 1973. But the number was down to fourteen thousand in 1974 and almost zero in 1975.
What made recovery especially unlikely—if not impossible—was the government’s monopoly of the capital market. As the Bank of Israel itself described it at the time, “The government’s involvement transcends anything that is known in politically free countries.” The government set the terms and interest rate for every loan and debt instrument for consumer and business credit. Commercial banks and pensions were forced to use most of their deposits to purchase nonnegotiable government bonds or to finance private-sector loans for projects that had been earmarked by the government.16
This was the condition of Israel’s economy during what is often described by economists as Israel’s “lost decade,” from the mid-1970s through the mid-1980s. Today, Intel’s decision to search for scarce engineers in Israel seems like an obvious move. But the Israel that Intel found in 1974 was nothing like what it is today. While it may no longer have resembled an expanse of sand, swamps, and malaria, visitors during the 1970s might have been excused for thinking they had landed in a third-world country.
Israeli universities and Israel’s engineering talent were by this time fairly advanced, but much of the country’s infrastructure was antiquated. The airport was small, quaint, and shabby. It had a Soviet-style utilitarian feel as one arrived and entered immigration. There was no major road that could pass for a real highway. Television reception was shoddy, but it hardly mattered since there was only a single government-owned station broadcasting in Hebrew, along with a couple of Arabic channels that, with a powerful enough antenna, one could pick up from Jordan or Lebanon.
Not everyone had a telephone at home, and not because they all had cell phones, which didn’t exist yet. The reason was that phone lines were still being slowly rationed out by a government ministry, and it took a long time to get one. Supermarkets, unlike the small food marts common in neighborhoods, were a novelty, and they did not carry many international products. Major international retail chains were nonexistent. If you needed something from abroad, you had to go yourself, or ask a visitor to bring it back for you. High customs duties—many of them protectionist attempts to coddle local producers—made most imports prohibitively expensive.
The cars on the road were a bland bunch—some produced in Israel (these became the butt of jokes, much like locally produced Russian cars did in Russia) and a motley assortment of the cheapest models of mostly Subaru and Citroen, the two companies brave or desperate enough to defy the Arab boycott. The banking system and the government’s financial regulations were as antiquated as the auto industry. It was illegal to change dollars anywhere except at banks, which charged government-set exchange rates. Even holding an overseas bank account was illegal.
The overall mood was dour. The euphoria that had come with the stunning 1967 victory—which some likened to first receiving a death-row pardon and then winning the lottery—quickly dissipated after the 1973 Yom Kippur War and was
