Free trade may often – although not always – be the best trade policy
The international trading system and its discontents
Never mind that free trade works neither in practice nor in theory. Despite its abysmal record, the Bad Samaritan rich countries have strongly promoted trade liberalization in developing since the 1980s.
As I discussed in the earlier chapters, the rich countries had been quite willing to let poor countries use more protection and subsidies until the late 1970s. However, this began to change in the 1980s. The change was most palpable in the US, whose enlightened approach to international trade with economically lesser nations rapidly gave way to a system similar to 19th-century British ‘free trade imperialism’. This new direction was clearly expressed by the then US president Ronald Reagan in 1986, as the Uruguay Round of GATT talks was starting, when he called for ‘new and more liberal agreements with our trading partners – agreement under which they would fully open their markets and treat American products as they treat their own’.[10] Such agreement was realized through the Uruguay Round of GATT trade talks, which started in the Uruguayan city of Punta del Este in 1986 and was concluded in the Moroccan city of Marrakech in 1994. The result was the World Trade Organisation regime – a new international trade regime that was much more biased against the developing countries than the GATT regime.
On the surface, the WTOsimply created a ‘level playing field’among its member countries, requiring that everyone plays by the same rule – how can we argue against that? Critical to the process was the adoption of the principle of a ‘single undertaking’, which meant that all members had to sign up to all agreements. In the GATT regime, countries could pick and choose the agreements that they signed up to and many developing countries could stay out of agreements that they did not want – for example, the agreement restricting the use of subsidies. With the single undertaking, all members had to abide by the same rules. All of them had to reduce their tariffs. They were made to give up import quotas, export subsidies (allowed only for the poorest countries) and most domestic subsidies. But, when we look at the detail, we realize that the field is not level at all.
To begin with, even though the rich countries have low average protection, they tend to disproportionately protect products that poor countries export, especially garments and textiles. This means that, when exporting to a rich country market, poor countries face higher tariffs than other rich countries. An Oxfam report points out that ‘The overall import tax rate for the USA is 1.6 per cent. That rate rises steeply for a large number of developing countries: average import taxes range from around four per cent for India and Peru, to seven per cent for Nicaragua, and as much as 14–15 per cent for Bangladesh, Cambodia and Nepal.’[11] As a result, in 2002, India paid more tariffs to the US government than Britain did, despite the fact that the size of its economy was less than one-third that of the UK. Even more strikingly, in the same year, Bangladesh paid almost as much in tariffs to the US government as France, despite the fact that the size of its economy was only 3% that of France.[12]
There are also structural reasons that make what looks like ‘levelling the playing field’ actually favour developed countries. Tariffs are the best example. The Uruguay Round resulted in all countries, except for the poorest ones, reducing tariffs quite a lot in proportional terms. But the developing countries ended up reducing their tariffs a lot more in absolute terms, for the simple reason that they started with higher tariffs. For example, before the WTO agreement, India had an average tariff rate of 71%. It was cut to 32%. The US average tariff rate fell from 7% to 3%. Both are similar in proportional terms (each representing around a 55% cut), but the absolute impact is very different. In the Indian case, an imported good that formerly cost $171 would now cost only $132 – a significant fall in what the consumer pays (about 23%) that would dramatically alter consumer behaviour. In the American case, the price the consumer pays would have fallen from $107 to $103 – a price difference that most consumers will hardly notice (less than 4%). In other words, the impact of tariff cuts of the same proportion is disproportionately larger for the country whose initial tariff rate is higher.
In addition, there were areas where ‘levelling the playing field’meant a one-sided benefit to rich countries. The most important example is the TRIPS (Trade-related Intellectual Property Rights) agreement, which strengthened the protection of patents and other intellectual property rights (more on this in chapter 6). Unlike trade in goods and services, where everyone has something to sell, this is an area where developed countries are almost always sellers and developing countries buyers. Therefore, increasing the protection for intellectual property rights means that the cost is mainly borne by the developing nations. The same problem applies to the TRIMS (Trade-related Investment Measures) agreement, which restricts the WTO member countries’ ability to regulate foreign investors (more on this in chapter 4). Once again, most poor countries only receive, and do not make, foreign investment. So, while their ability to regulate foreign companies is reduced, they do not get ‘compensated’ by any reduction in the regulations that their national firms operating abroad are subject to, as they simply do not have such firms.
Many of the exceptions to the rules were created in areas where the developed countries needed them. For example, while most domestic subsidies are banned, subsidies are allowed in relation to agriculture, basic (as opposed to commercial) R&D (research and development), and reduction of regional disparities. These are all subsidies that happen to be extensively used by the rich countries. The rich nations give out an estimated $100 billion worth of agricultural subsidies every year; these include the $4 billion given to 25, 000 American peanut farmers and EU subsidies that allow Finland to produce sugar (from beets). [13] All rich country governments, especially the US government, heavily subsidize basic R&D, which then increases their competitiveness in related industries. Moreover, this is not a subsidy that developing nations can use, even if they are allowed to – they simply do not do much basic R&D, so there is little for them to subsidize. As for regional subsides, which have been extensively used by the European Union, this is another case of apparent neutrality really serving the interests mainly of rich countries. In the name of redressing regional imbalances, they have subsidized firms to induce them to locate in ‘depressed’ regions. Within the nation, this may be contributing to a reduction in regional inequality. But, when viewed from an international perspective, there is little difference between these subsidies and subsidies given to promote particular industries.
Against these accusations of ‘levelling the playing field’ only where it suits them, the rich countries often argue that they still give the developing countries ‘special and differential treatment’ (SDT). But special and differential treatment is now a pale shadow of what it used to be under the GATT regime. While some exceptions are made for the developing countries, especially the poorest ones (‘the least developed countries’ in WTO jargon), many of these exceptions were in the form of a slightly longer ‘transition period’ (five to ten years) before they reach the same final goal as the rich countries, rather than the offer of permanent asymmetrical arrangements.[14]
So, in the name of ‘levelling the playing field’, the Bad Samaritan rich nations have created a new international trading system that is rigged in their favour. They are preventing the poorer countries from using the tools of trade and industrial policies that they had themselves so effectively used in the past in order to promote their own economic development – not just tariffs and subsidies, but also regulation of foreign investment and ‘violation’ of foreign intellectual property rights, as I will show in subsequent chapters.
Not satisfied with the result of the Uruguay Round, the rich countries have been pushing for further liberalization by developing economies. There has been a push to tighten restrictions on controls over foreign investment, over and above what was accepted in the TRIMS agreement. This was attempted first through the OECD (in 1998) and then through the World Trade Organisation (in 2003).[15] The move was thwarted both times, so the developed countries have shifted their focus and are now concentrating on a proposal to drastically reduce industrial tariffs in the developing countries.
This proposal, dubbed NAMA (non-agricultural market access), was first launched in the Doha ministerial meeting of the World Trade Organisation in 2001. It got a critical impetus when, in December 2002, the US government dramatically upped the ante by calling for the abolition of all industrial tariffs by 2015.There are various