with the Andies' policy of gradually increasing the level of their provocations. Particularly in light of the fact that
'Those are excellent points,' Honor agreed.
'With all due respect, Your Grace,' Alistair McKeon pointed out, 'as important as the question of intent obviously is, it may also, unfortunately, be completely beside the point. Shots have been fired, casualties have been suffered, and we've lost a Queen's ship with all hands. Whatever these clever-assed bastards may have been planning on doing, what they've actually accomplished is to present us with an act of war.'
The sudden, brief silence which greeted his blunt observation was profound.
'Yes, they have,' Honor said into that silence after a moment. 'But the reason they did may still be of critical importance. My own initial read is that this entire incident represents a mistake.'
'Mistake?' Alice Truman shook her head. Unlike many of the other flag officers in the briefing room, Truman had had the opportunity to look over the sensor data from
'I don't disagree with your analysis of what happened, Alice,' Honor said. 'I'm not at all certain, however, that 'deliberately and without provocation' is the best way to describe it.'
She felt more than a little incredulity from her subordinate officers, astonishment at both the thrust of her argument and that 'the Salamander' should be the one to voice it.
'As Captain Gonsalves has already pointed out,' she continued calmly, 'this represents an enormous break with the level of harassment we've seen out of the Andermani in the past. Moreover, we know Herzog von Rabenstrange is expected at Sachsen to relieve Sternhafen within the next few weeks. I find it very difficult to believe that the Andermani Navy would deliberately kick off an offensive against the Star Kingdom before their new station commander—widely regarded as perhaps the best flag officer in the IAN—even arrived.'
'There is that,' Truman agreed.
'True,' Alfredo Yu said. 'But it's also remotely possible that the timing represents a form of disinformation. By timing it to occur shortly before Rabenstrange's arrival in Sachsen, they may have intended to give him a degree of plausible deniability. He can always lay the blame for the attack on Sternhafen.'
Honor felt a strain of bitter amusement under his words and had to suppress an ironic snort of her own as she remembered how Yu himself had been disavowed by his government during the operations which had first brought him to Yeltsin's Star all those years ago.
'Why would he want to blame Sternhafen?' Hewitt asked.
'I don't say I agree that it's what they were trying to do,' Harriet Benson-Dessouix replied. 'But it's possible that they might see this as a way to hit us with a really painful provocation, a demonstration of the fact that people can get hurt out here if they don't get out of the Andies' way, while leaving themselves room to retreat from actually starting a war. They may think that if they blame it on Sternhafen, or even on
'And the purpose of hitting
'
'It's certainly one possible scenario,' Honor agreed. 'But, as you say, Harry, it's all entirely speculative and highly problematical. It would also impute more subtlety to the Andermani than they normally demonstrate. Also, I think it may be overlooking the fact that the slaver
'That's true enough, Your Grace,' Lieutenant Commander Reynolds said. 'At the same time,
'Assuming that
'Yes.' Honor nodded. 'Remember the history between
'You're saying that this Gortz character may have been sufficiently pissed off with
'Are you sure you want to ask that question, given some of the people you and I have seen commanding Manticoran heavy cruisers?' Honor replied with a more crooked than usual smile. 'Especially in backwater systems like . . . oh, Basilisk, say?'
'
'It could have happened that way,' Truman conceded. 'But if it did, there must have been some pretty serious lapses on both sides. Ferrero certainly should have informed Gortz of her intentions. And from
'I'm not prepared to condemn one of my captains' actions without a lot more information than we currently have,' Honor said. 'On the other hand, from the very limited data actually available to us, it would certainly appear that that may have been true. In the final analysis, it was Gortz who first fired on
'But the two key points at this moment, as I see it, are that we have a very serious shooting incident between our own forces and the Andermani Navy, and that we don't have any way of knowing precisely what led up to it. The fact that it occurred in the territorial space of a third, neutral power complicates things even further, of
