“But are they good?”
He thought that was funny and advised me, “If you need to depend on them to provide security for your work-whatever it is-make sure you watch your back and sleep with your boots on and your gun handy. Better yet, stay awake.”
I asked him, “How about the National Security Bureau?”
“You mean the blue clowns? Half police force, half tourist protection service, and all corrupt. They don’t have a clear mission or a clear chain of command. They’re used and abused by the politicians to further their own agendas. If you need to rely on them for security, make sure you pay them well-half up front, half if you get back alive.”
I hoped Matt Longo knew all that. I inquired, “How much is well?”
“About two dollars per man, per day. Extra if they have to fire their rifles.”
“Sounds reasonable.”
He informed me, “The blue clowns did a disappearing act on a bunch of Belgian tourists last August. At the Marib ruins.”
“Really? What happened to the tourists?”
“They disappeared, too. Maybe kidnapped, but no one has heard from them.”
“I hope they’re all right.”
“Don’t bet on it. Their Yemeni guide and their bus driver were found with their throats slit.”
Ouch. I didn’t remember hearing about this, but bad news out of Yemen wasn’t big news in the States unless it had to do with Americans. I mean, I’d been surprised to discover there were over a hundred Westerners kidnapped in the last ten years, mostly Europeans. Now and then you’d hear about tourists being killed, sometimes in a crossfire between Yemeni security forces and tribal kidnappers. But what Colonel Kent was describing didn’t sound like a tribal kidnapping.
I asked him, “Could that have been an Al Qaeda attack?”
“That seems to be the consensus. But the Yemeni government plays down these incidents.” He let me know, “They like the tourism. In fact, tours still go to the Marib ruins.”
“How many come back?”
On the subject of Marib as an exciting place, Colonel Kent said, “There was an Al Qaeda attack last night on the Hunt Oil installation north of Marib.”
“I heard.”
“Did you?” He continued, “Hunt hires its own security force-mostly American and European mercenary types. Unfortunately, the NSB insists on being in on the arrangement-for money, of course. But as I said, you can’t trust them, so when the excrement starts to fly, you don’t know if the NSB has your back, or if they ran away, or if they joined the other team.” He concluded, “Tactically, it’s a damned nightmare.”
“Right. But the Al Qaeda guys were routed.”
“Luck. Or maybe the Hunt guys knew they were coming. Information is cheaper than a barrel of oil around here.” He added, “Maybe the Al Qaeda force was inept.”
I thought of Rahim and partly agreed. But I was also sure that the Al Qaeda guys were going to get better.
Colonel Kent said to me, “They got an Al Qaeda prisoner from the attack.”
I didn’t respond, so he asked me, “You know about that?”
“You know I do and that’s all I can say.”
He accepted that and advised me, “The Agency always knows more than they’re saying. If you’re FBI, which I guess you are, you’ll get more help from my office-Military Intelligence-than you’ll get from our Comrades In Arms.”
“Right.”
“And be aware that State Department Intelligence cozies up to the CIA more than they should.” He opined, “SDI should be working more with MI.”
Who’s on first? Anyway, Colonel Kent seemed to be a man of opinions, so I asked him, “What’s your opinion of the Political Security Organization?”
He replied, “Like any internal political security force, they can be nasty. In most countries in the Mideast, they’re called the Mukhabarat, which they were once called here. But that name has a lot of negatives attached to it-like the old KGB or the Gestapo-so they changed the name here. But it’s the same bunch of thugs. And as in every other dictatorship, people are frightened of them and people think they’re everywhere. Truth is, they’re not, but they promote fear and distrust.” He advised me, “Steer clear of them if you can. They answer to no one except the president and his inner circle.”
I wondered if they were hiring-or did I really want to be a warlord? Anyway, I asked Colonel Kent, “Do you know this PSO guy, Colonel Hakim?”
“Sure. Nasty thug. But not stupid.”
“Whose side is he on?”
“He’s on his side. He wants to keep his job and his high status no matter who wins. He’ll shoot an Al Qaeda captive one day, then let another one escape another day. He does the same with the tribal rebels. But someday he’s going to get a bullet in the head from one side or the other.”
I wouldn’t mind doing that myself. I asked him, “Who’s going to win here? The government, the al-Houthi rebels, the South Yemen separatists, or Al Qaeda?”
“Well… in the end, the tribes always win-if they can agree on a leader. This al-Houthi guy may be the one. There’s another one-a Bedouin sheik-in Marib who could unite the tribes. If not, I’d put my money on Al Qaeda.”
“Why?”
“Because they’re organized, disciplined, and they believe they are the future.”
“They’re the past.”
“That is the future.”
“Right.”
Then he said to me, sotto voce, “If you’re here to find The Panther, I wish you luck. But I’ll also tell you that it might be best in the long run if Al Qaeda won in Yemen.”
“Why?”
He explained, “This regime is broken. They’re the walking dead. If Al Qaeda wins, they control Sana’a, and the Saudis will find that intolerable, and the Saudis, with American military help, will unite the tribes and get rid of Al Qaeda in Yemen.” He informed me, “The Saudis have united the tribes before when they didn’t like the government in Sana’a, and also when the Communists took over in Aden. But first, Al Qaeda needs to be out in the open-in the presidential palace. In other words, the quickest way to win this war is to lose it. Follow?”
Maybe I needed another martini to follow this. But I think I got Colonel Machiavelli’s line of reasoning. I suggested, “So we get to fight a real land war with Al Qaeda as soon as they win here.”
“That’s it. Same as with the Taliban in Afghanistan.” He let me know, “Al Qaeda should be careful what they wish for.”
So should we.
Colonel Kent asked me, “What’s your clearance?”
“About six foot two inches.”
He smiled politely at the old joke and said, “I’ll tell you an open secret. Our goal here is to force the Yemeni government to sign a treaty giving us a ninety-nine-year lease on a big chunk of waterfront property near Aden. We need to do this before the government collapses. We need to build a land, sea, and air base for operations and refueling. An American Gibraltar. From there, we can control the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, and we’ll do it with a friendly government that we help install later, like the British did two hundred years ago when they grabbed Aden. We can mount operations against Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa. And we can also wipe out the Somali pirates who are in league with Al Qaeda. Plus, we’d have a place other than Guantanamo and closer to the battlefields to warehouse and interrogate enemy combatants.” He got a dreamy look in his eyes and said, “Sweet.”
“Beautiful,” I agreed. Grand strategies and geo-politics always give me a little headache, but to be polite I said, “I like multi-purpose land use.” Maybe I could put my khat spa there.
