The key question here was whether or not the Argentine forces would attempt to penetrate the 200-mile- radius total exclusion zone (TEZ) from Port Stanley in the Falklands. Clearly if they tried to penetrate it, there would be no question but to attack with the nuclear boats. But the ships did not come on directly and seemed to rally just outside the zone, though quite close enough to dash in at a moment's notice. The northern group was trying to find some wind to launch her strike of A-4s at the British task group, though (amazingly for the weather in the South Atlantic) it was calm and windless.
The choke point in that area was, ironically, not a strait but the extremely shallow water. The Argentinean southern group was operating over a shallow rise in the ocean called the Burdwood Bank, which made difficult operating conditions for HMS
Late on May 2, 1982, the message was sent from Northwood authorizing the sinking of the
In the plotting area of
Just before 1600 hours on May 2, 1982, the only combat torpedo shots ever fired by a nuclear submarine were launched from
In addition to the two hits on the cruiser, the third Mk 8 appears to have hit one of the escorting destroyers, though it failed to detonate. Unfortunately for the crew of the
Aboard the
As for the Argentine Navy, the effects were rapid and enormous. One story, told at the bars where submarine officers go after hours, says that as soon as the carrier group to the north of the Falklands got word on the sinking, they immediately reversed course and headed back to port. The story goes on to say that apparently this spoiled the opportunity of another Royal Navy submarine commander, who allegedly was watching the oncoming carrier group through his periscope. Royal Navy gossip has it that he watched the carrier and her escorts turn for home less than thirty minutes before he himself would have gotten in his shots at the
Tactical Example — Maritime Interdiction (Attack of a Convoy/Amphibious Group)
This is a high-risk situation for everyone. A convoy by definition is a large group of valuable ships protected by a force of warships. If your enemy has a convoy, he is transporting something important to his war effort, something that you don't want to let arrive. An amphibious warfare group is a little different; in this case the cargo is the most precious of all for the enemy and the most dangerous of all for you: fully equipped combat troops who have a job to do. You've got to try to stop the enemy in either case, while he must guard a moving asset. In fact, that asset will be moving as rapidly as possible to minimize the risk-the faster they move, the less time you have to attack. But unlike a carrier group, in which every ship has the ability to defend itself, most of the flock in a convoy is relatively helpless. For the amphibious group, there is one other difficulty. While a convoy probably wants to go from one friendly port to another, the amphibs by definition are heading into harm's way-they want to go where you and your allies live. That means the submarines will have to hunt their enemy on the enemy's ground.
Let's suppose that the government of the Ukraine has decided to support some of their former allies in the Balkans, the Serbians perhaps, with an amphibious expedition from the Black Sea to the Adriatic. It might be composed of some six to eight ex-Soviet Ropucha- or Polnocny-class landing ships with a regiment of landing troops aboard. The landing ships probably have an escort of four to six frigates (like Krivaks or Grishas) and/or corvettes (like Pauks or Tarantuls), though nothing like the kind of escort that the old Soviet Navy used to be able to put together. In any case, this is the very kind of intervention that the UN is desperately trying to avoid in a festering part of the world. While NATO air and surface forces could certainly deal with such a group, it would be messy. And there would be repercussions: further confrontations between east and west might develop. Or, someone could just deal with it. Someone who has something that can just make things disappear.
Word of the expedition would not be difficult to find out. States like the Ukraine are filled with opposition groups, and the national intelligence assets of the United States clearly notice the gathering of the ships and the movements of the troops and vehicles to the port. Thus the United States would have several days to coordinate the necessary assets and move a 688I into the Aegean or Adriatic to intercept the amphibious group.
When it comes out, the amphib group has the landing ships (say eight of them) in two columns, with a circle of ASW escorts (say four of these) surrounding them at the flanks. The key problem for the U.S. skipper is to