более полный список вы найдете на уже упоминавшемся сайте www.futuretrendsbook.com.
Основные тенденции развития
Abbott, Chris, An Uncertain Future: law enforcement, national security and climate change (briefi ng paper), Oxford Research Group, 2008
Attali, Jacques, A Brief History of the Future, Allen & Unwin, 2009
Canton, James, The Extreme Future, Penguin, 2006
Dixon, Patrick, Futurewise: six faces of global change, Profile, 2003
Economist Intelligence Unit, Foresight 2020: economic, industry and corporate trends, 2006
Friedman, George, The Next 100 Years: a forecast for the 21st century, Black Inc, 2009
Greenfield, Susan, Tomorrow’s People: how 21st-century technology is changing the way we think and feel, Penguin, 2004
Kusek, David, and Leonhard, Gerd, The Future of Music, Berklee Press, 2005
Maddox, John, What Remains to Be Discovered, Papermac, 1999
Malone, Thomas W, The Future of Work, Harvard Business School Press, 2004
Mercer, David, Future Revolutions, Orion Business Books, 1998
Naisbitt, John, Mind Set!, Collins, 2006
Penn, Mark, Microtrends: the small forces behind today’s big changes, Allen Lane, 2007
Seidensticker, Bob, Future Hype: the myths of technology change, Berrett-Koehler, 2006
Shapiro, Robert, Futurecast 2020, Profi le, 2008
Sharper, Thomas, Originality, T Werner Laurie, 1917
Taylor, Jim, and Wacker, Watts, The 500Year Delta: what happens after what comes next, Collins, 1997
Sources 303
Taylor, Jim, and Wacker, Watts, The 500-Year Delta: what happens after what comes next, Collins, 1997
Toffler, Alvin, Future Shock, Pan, 1970
Williams, Robyn, Future Perfect, Allen & Unwin, 2007
Риски и пути их преодоления
Aon Analytics, Global Risk Management Survey, 2009
Bernstein, Peter L, Against the Gods: the remarkable story of risk, John Wiley & Sons, 1996
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, The Black Swan: the impact of the highly improbable, Allen Lane, 2007
World Economic Forum, Global Risks 2008, WEF, 2007. (The 2009 report is available online at www.weforum.org/pdf/globalrisk/2009.pdf)
Сценарии будущего и методы их разработки
Freeman, Oliver, Building Scenario Worlds, Richmond Ventures, 2004 Ministry of Defence, UK, The DCDC Global Strategic Trends Programme 2007–2031, 2006. (The 2007 version is available online at www.dcdc-strategictrends.org.uk)
National Intelligence Council, Global Trends 2025: a transformed world, US Government Printing Office, 2008
National Intelligence Council, Mapping the Global Future, US Government Printing Office, 2004
Schwartz, Peter, The Art of the Long View: planning for the future in an uncertain world, Currency Doubleday, 1991
Shell International, Shell Energy Scenarios to 2050, Shell, 2008
van der Heijden, Kees, The Sixth Sense: accelerating organisational learning with scenarios, John Wiley & Sons, 2002
Brand, Stewart, The Clock of the Long Now, Basic Books, 1999
Hamel, Gary, and Prahalad, CK, Competing for the Future, Harvard Business School Press, 1994
Handy, Charles, The Empty Raincoat, Random House, 1995
Handy, Charles, The Hungry Spirit, Random House, 1998
Kuhn, Thomas, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, University of Chicago Press, 1996
Wilson, Daniel, How to Survive a Robot Uprising: tips on defending yourself against the coming rebellion, Bloomsbury, 2005
Zeldin, Theodore, Happiness, Pan, 1990
Zeldin, Theodore, An Intimate History of Humanity, Reed, 1994
Выражения признательности
Истинный секрет заключается в умении скрывать свои источники
Аноним (само собой разумеется) Признательность мне хочется выразить всему списку обычно включаемых в него людей. Но в особенности я должен поблагодарить Оливера Фримена, который стал для меня одновременно и учителем, и вдохновителем. Я также весьма благодарен Напье, Уэйду, Теодору и Чарльзу за их глубокое понимание и способность пробуждать идеи. Я очень признателен Джорджи, Мэтту, Нику, Рег, Пэм и Йэну. И, наконец, мое грандиозное спасибо Генри, Сью, Аманде, Роджеру и Эмме из Scribe, а также Рассу.
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