1984), p. 77.
186
See Arthur Conan Doyle, The History of Spiritualism (New York: G. H. Doran, 1926); and R. L. Moore, In Search of White Crows: Spiritualism, Parapsychology, and American Culture (London: Oxford University Press, 1977).
187
Ray Hyman, 'Parapsychological Research: A Tutorial Review and Critical Appraisal', Proceedings of the IEEE 74, no. 6 (June 1986): 823-49.
188
Michael Faraday, 'Experimental Investigation of Table-Moving', Athenaeum, July 2, 1853, pp. 801-3.
189
Michael Faraday, quoted in Hyman, 'Parapsychological Research', p. 826.
190
Faraday, quoted ibid.
191
See Frank H. Durgin, 'The Tinkerbell Effect: Motion Perception and Illusion', Journal of Consciousness Studies 9, nos. 5-6 (May-June 2002): 88-101.
192
Christof Koch, The Quest for Consciousness: A Neurobiological Approach (Englewood, Colo.: Roberts, 2004), pp. 51-54.
193
The study was D. O. Clegg et al., 'Glucosamine, Chondroitin Sulfate, and the Two in Combination for Painful Knee Osteoarthritis', New England Journal of Medicine 354, no. 8 (February 2006): 795-808. The interview was 'Slate's Medical Examiner: Doubts on Supplements', Day to Day, NPR broadcast, March 13, 2006.
194
See Paul Slovic, Howard Kunreuther, and Gilbert F. White, 'Decision Processes, Rationality, and Adjustment to Natural Hazards', in Natural Hazards: Local, National, and Global, ed. G. F White (London: Oxford University Press, 1974); see also Willem A. Wagenaar, 'Generation of Random Sequences by Human Subjects: A Critical Survey of Literature', Psychological Bulletin 77, no. 1 (January 1972): 65-72.
195
See Hastie and Dawes, Rational Choice in an Uncertain World, pp. 19-23.
196
George Spencer-Brown, Probability and Scientific Inference (London: Longmans, Green, 1957), pp. 55-56. Actually, 10 is a gross underestimate.
197
Janet Maslin, 'His Heart Belongs to (Adorable) iPod', New York Times, October 19, 2006.
198
Hans Reichenbach, The Theory of Probability, trans. E. Hutton and M. Reichenbach (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1934).
199
The classic text expounding this point of view is Burton G. Malkiel, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, now completely revised in an updated 8th ed. (New York: W. W. Norton, 2003).
