Ibid., p. 311.
229
Raymond Fisman, Rakesh Khurana, and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf, 'Governance and CEO Turnover: Do Something or Do the Right Thing?' (working paper no. 05-066, Harvard Business School, Cambridge, Mass., April 2005).
230
P.C. Wason, 'Reasoning about a Rule', Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 20 (1968): 273-81.
231
Francis Bacon, Novum Organon, trans, by P. Urbach and J. Gibson (Chicago: Open Court, 1994), p. 57 (originally published in 1620).
232
Charles G. Lord, Lee Ross, and Mark Lepper, 'Biased Assimilation and Attitude Polarization: The Effects of Prior Theories on Subsequently Considered Evidence', Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 37, no. 11 (1979): 2098-109.
233
Matthew Rabin, 'Psychology and Economics' (white paper, University of California, Berkeley, September 28, 1996).
234
E. C. Webster, Decision Making in the Employment Interview (Montreal: Industrial Relations Centre, McGill University, 1964).
235
Beth E. Haverkamp, 'Confirmatory Bias in Hypothesis Testing for Client-Identified and Counselor Self- generated Hypotheses', Journal of Counseling Psychology 40, no. 3 (July 1993): 303-15.
236
David L. Hamilton and Terrence L. Rose, 'Illusory Correlation and the Maintenance of Stereotypic Beliefs', Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 39, no. 5 (1980): 832-45; Galen V. Bodenhausen and Roberts. Wyer, 'Effects of Stereotypes on Decision Making and Information-Processing Strategies', Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 48, no. 2 (1985): 267-82; and C. Stangorand D. N. Ruble, 'Strength of Expectancies and Memory for Social Information: What We Remember Depends on How Much We Know', Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 25, no. 1 (1989): 18-35.
237
Pierre-Simon de Laplace, quoted in Stigler, Statistics on the Table, p. 56.
238
James Gleick, Chaos: Making a New Science (New York: Penguin, 1987); see chap. 1.
239
Max Born, Natural Philosophy of Cause and Chance (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1948), p. 47. Борн имел в виду природу в общем и квантовую теорию в частности
240
The Pearl Harbor analysis is from Roberta Wohlstetter, Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision (Palo Alto, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1962).
241
Richard Henry Tawney, The Agrarian Problem in the Sixteenth Century (1912; repr., New York: Burt Franklin, 1961).
